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Where and when will Cyclone Mocha make landfall?

A depression in the Bay of Bengal, likely to form on Tuesday, will intensify into a cyclonic storm over the southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas of the east-central Bay of Bengal and the Andaman Sea on M y 10, before making landfall on the Bangladesh-Myanmar coast on May 14, the India Meteorological Department said in a statement. However, the prediction might change over the coming days once the cyclone begins to take shape over the Bay of Bengal.

“It is likely to move initially north-northwestwards towards the east-central Bay of Bengal till May 11. Thereafter, it is likely to recurve gradually and move north-northeastwards towards Bangladesh-Myanmar coasts,” the statement said.

Landfall is indicated around May 14 over the Bangladesh-Myanmar coasts, it added.

According to the weather department, the latest satellite imagery indicates a low-level circulation centre over the southeast Bay of Bengal and the adjoining south Andaman Sea.

The maximum sustained wind speed of 15-20 knots will prevail over the south Andaman Sea region, the IMD said, adding, “Strong winds are seen in the eastern sector and southern sector. Stronger winds in the southern sector indicate increased cross-equatorial flow, which will also favour cyclogenesis by increasing vorticity and convergence over the region. These features indicate likely strengthening of the system.”

The Director General of India Meteorological Department, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, asked fishermen, ships, trawlers, and small boats not to venture into the southeast Bay of Bengal and urged those in the region to return to the coast.

Under the influence of the weather system, Andaman and Nicobar Islands are expected to experience very heavy rainfall on Tuesday, Mohapatra said.

The weather office suggested regulation of tourism and offshore activities and shipping near Andaman and Nicobar Islands and over the areas of southeast and central Bay of Bengal till Friday.

The cyclone was named Mocha (Mokha) by Yemen after the Red Sea port city, which is known to have introduced coffee to the world over 500 years ago.

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